Post #4523408 · Elektrine

2026-08-22 13:12 UTC

To be clear, this is not a new thing. It's one of the largest ongoing difficulties in census research not only in the US, but in basically every nation around the world; demographers are CONSTANTLY noting in their census analyses that they're virtually guaranteed to have undercounted minorities. In particular, the HRC's datapool comes from 2021-2024, meaning that 3/4 of the years it covers are AFTER the present trans panic really exploded, in the 2022 election cycle. Stop and read that again. THIS IS GOVERNMENT DATA DURING A GENOCIDE. And the numbers are still that high.

Replies (1)

@Impossible_PhD@hachyderm.io 2026-08-22 13:12

So here's the thing that really flabbergasts me: That 2.34%? That's the absolute floor of where the trans population could possibly be. That's our population with, guaranteed, a shitload of trans people lying their asses off to the government. Meaning the actual population numbers are much higher. I'm not going to take a guess at what the actual headcount of the trans population is, but with data like this, 5% is starting to seem conservative to me. I wouldn't be surprised to see 10%, absent bigotry and with robust education. Wouldn't even dismiss estimates in the teens, which I would've before today. Jesus Christ on a cracker. 2.34%, off of census data, in this day and age. I'm just speechless. Wow. Anyway, trans rights, and this is why they can't possibly win against us. There's just too many of us.

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