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  I am a pretty big fan of Ed's work, so I'm going to hold my nose and read Kelsey's work thoroughly enough to do a line by line debunking: > Over the last two years, he has called the top repeatedly: Well yes, but he has also explicitly said that the bubble peaking and popping would be a multiyear process. I've only kept up with his every article for the past year, but in the past year, his median guess for the bubble pop becoming undeniable was 2027. I guess making timelin...

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  [Rationalist Infighting!](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NBEmGx3djmSXawp3H/no77e-s-shortform?commentId=4MvuuJfjHe4FyZKQz) tldr; one of the MIRI aligned rationalist (Rob Bensinger) complained about how EA actually increased AI-risk long-run by promoting OpenAI and then Anthropic. Scott Alexander responded aggressively, basically saying they are entirely wrong and also they are bad at public communications! Various lesswrongers weigh in, seemingly blind to irony and hypocrisy! Some highlights...

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  A rationalist made a top post where they (poorly) argue against political "violence" (scare quotes because they lump in property damage): https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Sih2sFHEgusDEuxtZ/you-can-t-trust-violence Highlights include a shallow half-assed defense of dear leader Eliezer's calls for violence: > True, Eliezer Yudkowsky’s TIME article called on the state to use violence to enforce AI policies required to prevent AI from destroying humanity. But it’s hard to think of...

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  It has already worked out that way: https://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1snbv4m/white_house_moves_to_give_us_agencies_anthropic/ So you aren't even being paranoid, this seems like a straightforward calculation for Anthropic to have made.

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  Habryka defends colonialism, straight out, no qualifiers: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/w3MJcDueo77D3Ldta/let-goodness-conquer-all-that-it-can-defend > Ok, fine, I'll go even further. I am glad about the colonization of North America. The American experiment was one of the greatest successes in history, and of course, it was a giant fucking mess. But despite it all, despite the Trail of Tears, despite smallpox ravaging the land, despite the conquistadors and the looting and the rapes —...

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  A little exchange on the EA forums I thought was notable: …effectivealtruism.org/…/long-term-risks-from-ide… tldr; a super long essay lumping together Nazism, Communism and religious fundamentalism (I didn’t read it, just the comments). The comment I linked notes how liberal democracies have also killed a huge number of people (in the commenter’s home country, in the name of purging communism): The United States presented liberal democracy as a universal emancipatory framework while materi...

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  The lesson should be the mega rich are class conscious, dumb as hell, and team up to work on each others interests and dont care about who gets hurt Yeah this. It would be nice if people could manage to neither dismiss the extent to which the mega rich work together nor fall into insane conspiracy theories about it.