No. Or at least not so much that it determines their vote. But Democratic centrists see a 70% issue as a toss up and fail to understand that the passionately anti-trans voters were never going to vote for them in the first place. The guy who just sort of feels weird about trans women almost certainly has other issues that actually matter to them that they will prioritize above it. We saw the same thing with gay marriage. Democratic centrists wouldn’t support it until it was basically a forgone conclusion.